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Red40
22348.4
2508.5
962419.5
Blue72
588112.8
2022.4
188017.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33480204060804072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9624
#12
19.50.5
17.418.0
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
blue by 2.9
20
#13
22.41.0
20.421.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Second
250
#40
8.50.5
7.27.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.0
End0.9
blue by 8.8
1880
#26
17.21.7
11.813.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End0.6
Third
2234
#38
8.40.5
7.47.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 4.4
5881
#48
12.81.7
9.110.8
Auto4.2
Teleop7.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed