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Red57
63918.5
630026.6
16018.2
Blue55
64017.8
501613.5
760523.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4951304060705755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.4
21.321.7
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
red by 2.7
7605
#15
23.90.4
24.424.8
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Second
639
#5
18.50.4
16.316.7
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End0.6
red by 5.0
5016
#27
13.50.4
13.013.4
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
1601
#44
8.20.7
8.49.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.8
red by 0.4
6401
#32
7.80.4
7.47.8
Auto0.9
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsEarned