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Red32
16018.2
317124.5
64635.2
Blue34
962419.5
51499.3
69698.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423802060801003234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
24.50.3
22.822.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 5.0
9624
#12
19.50.2
18.718.5
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Second
1601
#44
8.20.6
9.18.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 1.1
5149
#45
9.30.3
6.96.6
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
6463
#51
5.20.3
5.35.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 3.2
6969
#41
8.40.2
9.19.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed