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Red109
179643.0
379925.6
63918.5
Blue39
304416.6
151122.7
395110.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94482040608012014016010939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.01.6
39.240.9
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 20.3
1511
#19
22.70.6
21.721.1
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
Second
25.61.6
23.525.1
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.4
red by 9.0
3044
#31
16.60.6
14.413.8
Auto5.5
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
639
#5
18.51.6
16.718.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End0.6
red by 7.6
3951
#49
10.90.6
12.411.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed