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Red18
703110.9
64017.8
395110.9
Blue40
318121.2
22348.4
90765.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36371020305060701840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7031
#29
10.91.5
12.911.4
Auto5.9
Teleop3.3
End1.7
blue by 10.3
3181
#30
21.20.4
21.021.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.1
Second
3951
#49
10.91.0
11.810.8
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End1.9
red by 2.5
2234
#38
8.40.4
8.18.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Third
6401
#32
7.81.0
8.07.0
Auto0.9
Teleop5.4
End1.5
red by 2.0
9076
#46
5.80.4
4.55.0
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed