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Red82
317339.6
51499.3
29612.4
Blue22
33317.0
69698.4
70307.5
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6437020801001208222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.2
35.837.0
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
red by 22.6
333
#33
17.01.4
18.417.0
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End1.0
Second
296
#21
12.41.2
11.112.4
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End1.8
red by 4.0
6969
#41
8.41.0
9.48.4
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Third
5149
#45
9.31.8
7.59.3
Auto3.1
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.8
7030
#24
7.51.4
9.07.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed