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Red36
770918.6
64635.2
318121.2
Blue15
90765.8
2297.6
29612.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions501904060801003615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#30
21.20.4
20.319.9
Auto8.4
Teleop10.8
End2.1
red by 8.9
296
#21
12.40.5
6.86.3
Auto3.8
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Second
7709
#11
18.60.5
15.014.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
red by 11.0
229
#50
7.60.5
10.710.2
Auto4.5
Teleop2.3
End0.8
Third
6463
#51
5.20.5
6.45.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.2
End0.6
blue by 0.6
9076
#46
5.80.5
3.83.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed