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Red126
691117.7
341930.0
317339.6
Blue70
336020.4
279119.9
317124.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions976720408012014016018012670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.8
38.839.6
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
red by 15.1
3171
#16
24.50.1
24.424.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
30.01.1
28.829.9
Auto10.9
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 9.6
3360
#25
20.40.1
20.320.4
Auto8.3
Teleop10.8
End1.3
Third
6911
#36
17.70.8
16.817.6
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 2.2
19.90.1
19.719.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End2.4