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Red131
962419.5
179643.0
159134.9
Blue75
355016.3
760523.9
379925.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1136520408010014016013175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.00.8
42.843.6
Auto18.5
Teleop18.9
End5.6
red by 17.4
25.60.2
25.325.4
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
34.90.8
34.735.5
Auto14.9
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 11.0
7605
#15
23.90.2
23.623.7
Auto11.1
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
9624
#12
19.50.8
19.320.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 3.2
16.30.2
15.916.1
Auto5.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1