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Red22
317115.4
56410.4
691113.0
Blue18
51410.2
826710.6
146815.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4439203050602218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 0.1
1468
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
6911
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 2.4
8267
Unranked
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
Third
564
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 0.2
514
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody odds22%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds