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Red18
99699.1
901612.2
287512.4
Blue10
501610.3
155410.0
691113.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37371020304050601810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2875
Unranked
12.40.0
12.412.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End1.4
blue by 0.6
6911
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
Second
9016
Unranked
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End1.4
red by 1.9
5016
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
9969
Unranked
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End1.0
blue by 0.9
1554
Unranked
10.00.0
10.010.0
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody odds21%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds