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Red21
691113.0
51410.2
146815.3
Blue24
64239.6
58069.1
16018.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45281020405060702124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 5.8
6423
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.1
Second
6911
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
red by 3.9
5806
Unranked
9.10.0
9.19.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
514
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.1
red by 1.6
1601
Unranked
8.60.0
8.68.6
Auto3.2
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody odds18%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds10%Ensemble odds