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Red49
35312.2
317115.4
64239.6
Blue16
286911.3
501610.3
146815.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41412025303545504916

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 0.1
1468
Unranked
15.30.0
15.315.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
353
Unranked
12.20.0
12.212.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End1.4
red by 0.9
2869
Unranked
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.3
Third
6423
Unranked
9.60.0
9.69.6
Auto3.6
Teleop4.9
End1.1
blue by 0.7
5016
Unranked
10.30.0
10.310.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody odds22%Melody odds
Ensemble
11%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds