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Red6
691113.0
826710.6
5459.4
Blue31
362410.4
317115.4
51410.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3640102030506070631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6911
Unranked
13.00.0
13.013.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End1.5
blue by 2.5
3171
Unranked
15.40.0
15.415.4
Auto5.8
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
8267
Unranked
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End1.2
red by 0.2
3624
Unranked
10.40.0
10.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Third
545
Unranked
9.40.0
9.49.4
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.0
blue by 0.8
514
Unranked
10.20.0
10.210.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody odds22%Melody odds
Ensemble
10%Ensemble odds11%Ensemble odds