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Red19
82224.1
239918.9
962211.4
Blue45
581122.6
96439.9
696411.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453801001501945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#17
18.91.9
20.318.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 3.7
5811
#11
22.61.0
14.315.3
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
9622
#25
11.42.3
10.17.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
red by 0.4
6964
#39
11.01.0
12.513.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Third
8222
#53
4.12.3
9.67.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End-0.3
blue by 5.8
9643
#49
9.91.0
8.89.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed