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Red67
814517.5
348423.3
170821.1
Blue46
408514.4
96439.9
260322.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5935020801001201401606746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.3
15.116.4
Auto10.8
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 1.1
2603
#20
22.30.4
13.913.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Second
1708
#10
21.11.3
20.321.6
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
red by 6.7
4085
#21
14.40.4
11.210.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
Third
8145
#42
17.51.3
15.316.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 7.6
9643
#49
9.91.1
9.98.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned