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Red38
788511.5
814011.2
618115.2
Blue37
96439.9
871312.1
395417.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33460204060801003837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6181
#23
15.20.2
12.712.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.9
End4.4
blue by 2.1
3954
#28
17.30.2
19.519.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.1
Second
7885
#35
11.50.2
5.86.0
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
blue by 0.5
8713
#37
12.10.3
10.710.4
Auto0.4
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
8140
#32
11.20.2
12.913.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
9643
#49
9.90.3
9.69.3
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed