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Red62
140527.2
414523.2
87184.6
Blue23
746013.1
716514.9
907511.6
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6136020801001206223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#18
27.20.7
24.825.5
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
red by 12.3
7165
#43
14.92.0
14.612.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Second
4145
#12
23.20.7
22.222.9
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
red by 10.1
7460
#30
13.12.0
11.59.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.5
End1.9
Third
8718
#50
4.61.1
5.26.3
Auto2.3
Teleop1.6
End0.7
blue by 6.9
9075
#40
11.62.0
9.67.7
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed