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Red37
301532.7
82224.1
408514.4
Blue43
239918.9
29113.4
566719.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624602040801003743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.71.2
33.932.7
Auto12.9
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 13.1
5667
#24
19.70.0
14.114.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End0.9
Second
4085
#21
14.41.9
13.511.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.6
End0.2
blue by 4.5
2399
#17
18.90.0
18.218.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
Third
8222
#53
4.11.9
7.05.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.2
End-0.3
blue by 9.3
291
#33
13.40.0
11.111.0
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed