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Red41
45047.5
170821.1
460112.5
Blue87
4826.7
788511.5
140527.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3963020801001204187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1708
#10
21.10.2
21.121.3
Auto7.5
Teleop11.3
End2.4
blue by 6.1
1405
#18
27.21.8
25.527.3
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
Second
4601
#26
12.50.3
9.29.5
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
blue by 14.2
48
#7
26.71.8
23.024.8
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Third
4504
#52
7.50.3
8.18.4
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End2.1
blue by 4.1
7885
#35
11.53.1
6.09.1
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned12%Ensemble oddsMissed