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Red41
45116.9
788511.5
350422.1
Blue46
91948.2
962211.4
716514.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473402060801001201401604146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3504
#16
22.10.0
21.621.7
Auto4.9
Teleop15.9
End1.2
red by 7.1
7165
#43
14.90.9
13.414.3
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Second
451
#36
16.90.0
9.79.7
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
red by 5.5
9622
#25
11.41.3
11.410.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.5
End0.2
Third
7885
#35
11.50.0
9.69.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
red by 3.3
9194
#34
8.20.9
10.111.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed