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Red41
37775.2
395417.3
239918.9
Blue68
4826.7
405014.0
45116.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655204060801004168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#17
18.90.1
17.317.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 7.8
48
#7
26.70.6
24.425.1
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
3954
#28
17.30.1
18.918.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End3.1
red by 0.4
451
#36
16.91.1
12.813.9
Auto5.9
Teleop10.3
End0.8
Third
3777
#51
5.20.2
6.46.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 8.8
4050
#15
14.00.6
11.111.7
Auto5.9
Teleop6.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned