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Red43
959722.3
696411.0
814517.5
Blue45
45047.5
402726.1
788511.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484610203040607080904345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.30.0
14.414.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
blue by 3.8
26.10.2
24.724.8
Auto12.3
Teleop11.2
End2.6
Second
8145
#42
17.50.0
16.916.9
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 5.9
7885
#35
11.50.3
9.19.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.9
End2.0
Third
6964
#39
11.00.0
12.112.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
red by 3.6
4504
#52
7.50.3
8.48.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned