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Red63
96439.9
716514.9
432717.1
Blue54
29113.4
37775.2
412122.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4145102030506070806354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4327
#29
17.10.4
15.315.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.8
End0.5
blue by 5.6
22.70.2
21.321.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Second
7165
#43
14.90.6
12.813.4
Auto3.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 1.5
291
#33
13.40.4
12.813.2
Auto5.3
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Third
9643
#49
9.90.6
9.29.8
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
red by 4.7
3777
#51
5.20.4
6.26.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed