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Red50
140527.2
91948.2
541312.5
Blue65
260322.3
581122.6
959722.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48542030406070805065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#18
27.20.2
24.925.2
Auto11.5
Teleop13.1
End2.6
red by 4.7
5811
#11
22.61.8
18.220.1
Auto5.4
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
5413
#47
12.50.2
11.912.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End2.2
blue by 9.7
22.31.8
14.416.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
9194
#34
8.20.4
7.57.9
Auto2.6
Teleop4.1
End1.5
blue by 14.0
2603
#20
22.31.8
15.917.7
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed