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Red60
69525.2
96439.9
414523.2
Blue62
4826.7
959722.3
460112.5
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635502040801001201401606062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
695
#45
25.20.1
24.324.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.8
End2.3
blue by 1.5
48
#7
26.70.7
23.724.5
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
4145
#12
23.20.1
22.222.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
red by 0.9
22.31.2
16.217.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End2.5
Third
9643
#49
9.90.1
9.89.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.1
End0.5
blue by 2.6
4601
#26
12.51.2
10.912.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed