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Red57
814011.2
814517.5
239918.9
Blue50
907511.6
415019.3
541312.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801005750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#17
18.90.7
18.118.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 0.4
4150
#44
19.30.6
17.718.4
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.7
Second
8145
#42
17.50.7
16.817.5
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End0.6
red by 4.9
5413
#47
12.50.6
12.112.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.1
End2.2
Third
8140
#32
11.21.2
10.912.0
Auto4.5
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 0.4
9075
#40
11.61.0
10.411.4
Auto2.9
Teleop6.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed