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Red108
178731.0
217217.0
301532.7
Blue95
414523.2
4826.7
260322.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917720406010012014016010895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.0
32.832.8
Auto12.9
Teleop14.0
End5.9
red by 6.0
48
#7
26.70.5
26.427.0
Auto9.4
Teleop16.3
End1.0
Second
31.00.0
31.131.1
Auto10.3
Teleop17.7
End3.0
red by 7.8
4145
#12
23.20.5
22.923.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.1
End0.5
Third
2172
#38
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto7.7
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 5.3
2603
#20
22.30.7
21.922.6
Auto7.1
Teleop13.5
End1.7