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Red31
12014.0
824313.8
96228.1
Blue8
94152.4
217211.9
46017.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57290204080100120318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
120
#17
14.01.2
18.717.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
red by 2.1
2172
#21
11.91.6
17.015.4
Auto5.9
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Second
8243
#11
13.81.2
18.417.2
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 6.8
4601
#22
7.01.6
6.44.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Third
8.11.6
11.49.8
Auto1.5
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 5.7
9415
#25
2.42.1
6.34.2
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed