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Qual 102024 Curiosity Open
Red34
260322.9
103812.5
94152.4
Blue37
217211.9
412120.5
81409.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45510204060801003437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#5
22.90.5
22.8→22.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 2.4
4121
#2
20.50.6
20.7→20.2
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
Second
1038
#23Sur
12.50.5
15.1→14.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End4.0
red by 0.6
2172
#21
11.90.6
13.1→12.5
Auto5.9
Teleop4.5
End1.4
Third
9415
#25
2.40.5
3.2→2.7
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.7
blue by 6.7
8140
#13
9.20.6
11.5→10.9
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed