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Red37
415012.1
178731.0
91948.3
Blue27
265615.8
96434.7
824313.8
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663702060801003727

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1787
#10
31.01.6
34.432.8
Auto8.4
Teleop19.7
End2.9
red by 15.2
2656
#14
15.80.7
16.715.9
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
12.11.6
13.912.3
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 1.7
8243
#11
13.80.7
14.914.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
Third
9194
#19
8.31.8
7.75.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.6
9643
#18
4.70.7
5.54.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed