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Red64
824313.8
4827.0
412120.5
Blue53
239921.3
69522.4
319317.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6769204060801001206453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#1
27.00.2
27.127.3
Auto7.2
Teleop18.5
End1.4
red by 4.6
695
#9
22.40.7
23.422.6
Auto7.2
Teleop13.1
End2.1
Second
20.50.2
19.820.0
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
blue by 0.8
21.30.7
21.620.9
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
Third
8243
#11
13.80.2
14.314.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
blue by 3.6
17.40.7
17.216.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned59%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed