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Qual 192024 Curiosity Open
Red44
814514.0
94152.4
201016.3
Blue47
265615.8
91948.3
57408.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343201020405060704447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2010
#20
16.30.2
15.5→15.7
Auto7.0
Teleop7.7
End1.7
red by 0.5
2656
#14
15.81.2
15.4→16.6
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
8145
#12
14.00.2
13.3→13.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 5.7
9194
#19
8.31.2
6.6→7.8
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
9415
#25
2.40.2
2.2→2.4
Auto1.6
Teleop0.2
End0.7
blue by 5.8
5740
#16
8.21.2
7.5→8.7
Auto4.6
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed