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Red43
81409.2
239921.3
824313.8
Blue31
103812.5
12014.0
54139.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513802060804331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.1
20.920.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
red by 7.3
120
#17
14.00.5
13.913.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End1.6
Second
8243
#11
13.80.1
14.414.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End2.6
red by 1.4
1038
#23
12.50.5
13.112.7
Auto4.5
Teleop4.0
End4.0
Third
8140
#13
9.20.1
9.59.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.5
End0.3
blue by 0.2
5413
#24
9.40.5
8.98.4
Auto2.9
Teleop5.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed