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Red59
91948.3
412120.5
239921.3
Blue21
415012.1
96434.7
265615.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583402040801001205921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.30.0
21.121.1
Auto8.8
Teleop10.5
End1.9
red by 5.5
2656
#14
15.80.3
16.115.8
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
20.50.0
20.420.3
Auto8.2
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 8.4
12.10.3
12.412.1
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
9194
#19
8.30.0
8.18.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.3
red by 3.6
9643
#18
4.70.3
5.04.7
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1