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Red43
217211.9
260322.9
814514.0
Blue41
415012.1
96434.7
265615.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5436020801001204341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.1
22.322.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.4
End1.3
red by 7.1
2656
#14
15.80.1
16.616.5
Auto7.8
Teleop5.8
End2.2
Second
8145
#12
14.00.1
13.513.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 1.9
12.10.1
12.912.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Third
2172
#21
11.90.1
11.411.3
Auto5.9
Teleop4.5
End1.4
red by 7.2
9643
#18
4.70.1
5.55.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.0
End0.1