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Red73
32535.5
457619.0
402833.9
Blue77
574017.9
461128.8
319324.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions888160701001107377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#15
35.50.7
35.534.8
Auto13.9
Teleop19.2
End2.4
red by 6.7
28.80.2
26.226.0
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
33.90.8
28.527.7
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
red by 9.4
3193
#23
24.40.2
23.423.2
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Third
4576
#17
19.01.0
15.114.1
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 1.2
5740
#35
17.90.1
24.424.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned