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Red50
319324.4
12814.5
45119.7
Blue73
14432.5
746018.9
60329.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595830405070805073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3193
#23
24.40.3
23.222.9
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
blue by 8.1
144
#16
32.50.9
30.231.1
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Second
451
#21
19.70.3
18.117.9
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 0.8
18.91.1
12.513.5
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End2.4
Third
128
#34
14.50.4
12.011.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8
red by 5.2
6032
#47
9.31.5
10.111.6
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed