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Red70
103824.6
574017.9
566728.5
Blue67
426912.2
959725.1
320133.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6967204060801001201407067

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.50.7
20.020.6
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
blue by 5.3
3201
#14
33.80.5
29.429.9
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
Second
24.60.5
17.818.3
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 0.5
9597
#29
25.10.6
22.322.9
Auto9.4
Teleop12.7
End3.0
Third
5740
#35
17.90.5
24.224.8
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 5.7
4269
#39
12.20.7
9.09.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned47%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsEarned