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Red60
4828.4
63029.3
814515.4
Blue62
42425.5
131710.0
402833.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56722040801001206062

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#7
28.40.2
27.327.4
Auto7.4
Teleop19.8
End1.2
blue by 5.5
33.90.1
28.928.9
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Second
8145
#43
15.40.2
17.217.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End1.0
blue by 10.0
424
#20
25.50.1
20.020.0
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Third
6302
#46
9.30.2
8.28.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
blue by 0.7
1317
#24
10.00.1
14.013.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
56%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsMissed