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Red61
746018.9
549218.4
150729.3
Blue82
408518.5
402833.9
381419.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64712040801001201406182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#18
29.30.1
27.127.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 4.5
33.90.7
28.929.6
Auto11.4
Teleop16.6
End5.8
Second
18.90.1
15.715.9
Auto9.3
Teleop7.1
End2.4
blue by 1.0
3814
#30
19.90.7
18.219.0
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Third
5492
#44
18.40.1
16.316.4
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 0.1
4085
#11
18.50.7
16.717.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned73%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned