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Red75
426912.2
32535.5
45119.7
Blue69
42425.5
63029.3
349215.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions734102060801001207569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
325
#15
35.50.9
34.835.7
Auto13.9
Teleop19.2
End2.4
red by 10.0
424
#20
25.50.3
21.521.8
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
Second
451
#21
19.70.9
17.518.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.3
red by 4.0
3492
#22
15.70.3
11.111.4
Auto7.8
Teleop7.1
End0.8
Third
4269
#39
12.21.5
9.611.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
red by 2.9
6302
#46
9.30.3
7.98.2
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed