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Red66
235815.5
457619.0
959725.1
Blue63
414528.6
839318.3
260321.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4971204060801001201406663

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9597
#29
25.11.4
22.924.3
Auto9.4
Teleop12.7
End3.0
blue by 3.5
4145
#10
28.60.2
26.326.1
Auto9.4
Teleop18.5
End0.8
Second
4576
#17
19.01.3
13.514.8
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
blue by 2.9
2603
#33
21.90.2
20.219.9
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
2358
#41
15.51.3
10.411.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 2.8
8393
#26
18.30.2
14.814.6
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed