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Red60
82225.4
320133.8
101417.3
Blue79
318420.2
319324.4
63029.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575202040801001201401606079

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3201
#14
33.80.6
32.633.3
Auto13.8
Teleop16.8
End3.2
red by 9.4
3193
#23
24.42.1
22.524.6
Auto8.1
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
1014
#32
17.30.6
11.912.5
Auto6.7
Teleop7.2
End3.5
blue by 2.9
3184
#28
20.22.1
17.219.2
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Third
8222
#49
5.40.6
6.16.8
Auto3.7
Teleop1.6
End0.1
blue by 3.9
6302
#46
9.32.1
8.210.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed