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Red49
67715.2
260321.9
574017.9
Blue36
12814.5
549218.4
14432.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions646940506080904936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2603
#33
21.91.0
19.919.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 10.6
144
#16
32.51.9
33.431.5
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Second
5740
#35
17.91.0
22.621.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 0.5
5492
#44
18.41.9
16.414.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
677
#36
15.21.1
15.814.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.5
End2.1
red by 0.8
128
#34
14.53.1
12.08.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.5
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed