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Red51
446725.1
332414.0
426912.2
Blue67
461128.8
839318.3
60329.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485902040801001205167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#12
25.10.4
23.824.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
blue by 3.6
28.80.3
26.226.5
Auto9.3
Teleop16.7
End2.7
Second
3324
#37
14.00.7
12.913.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End1.8
blue by 4.3
8393
#26
18.30.3
16.216.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
4269
#39
12.20.7
7.88.6
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
red by 2.9
6032
#47
9.30.5
9.910.4
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed