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Red31
426912.2
42425.5
235815.5
Blue79
581128.3
131710.0
318420.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45562040801003179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#20
25.51.0
21.020.0
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
blue by 2.8
28.31.5
22.624.1
Auto7.5
Teleop17.7
End3.1
Second
2358
#41
15.50.9
10.59.7
Auto5.4
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 4.7
3184
#28
20.21.2
14.916.1
Auto8.7
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Third
4269
#39
12.21.2
10.29.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.4
End2.4
red by 2.2
1317
#24
10.01.9
12.114.0
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed