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Red75
150729.3
566728.5
131710.0
Blue65
32535.5
493012.9
693614.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7573607080901007565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#18
29.30.2
27.427.5
Auto12.8
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 6.2
325
#15
35.50.2
37.136.9
Auto13.9
Teleop19.2
End2.4
Second
28.50.2
26.626.7
Auto8.4
Teleop19.3
End0.8
red by 13.8
6936
#42
14.70.4
16.115.7
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Third
1317
#24
10.00.3
13.613.9
Auto5.8
Teleop3.4
End0.7
blue by 2.9
4930
#48
12.90.2
13.112.9
Auto3.5
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned