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Red81
457619.0
446725.1
103824.6
Blue97
408518.5
14432.5
261435.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649140801001201408197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4467
#12
25.11.0
24.225.2
Auto7.3
Teleop14.1
End3.8
blue by 10.0
35.11.1
28.729.7
Auto12.3
Teleop17.1
End5.7
Second
24.61.0
21.822.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
blue by 7.9
144
#16
32.51.1
31.932.9
Auto12.3
Teleop17.7
End2.5
Third
4576
#17
19.01.0
15.016.0
Auto8.7
Teleop8.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
4085
#11
18.51.1
18.319.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
53%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsEarned