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Red55
42425.5
103824.6
60329.3
Blue60
381419.9
693614.7
130810.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615002040801001205560

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
424
#20
25.50.1
19.719.8
Auto12.2
Teleop11.7
End1.5
red by 5.6
3814
#30
19.90.9
20.421.3
Auto6.9
Teleop10.4
End2.6
Second
24.60.1
22.822.8
Auto5.5
Teleop13.3
End5.8
red by 9.9
6936
#42
14.71.4
15.717.1
Auto7.3
Teleop4.4
End3.0
Third
6032
#47
9.30.1
11.411.5
Auto1.7
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 0.8
1308
#50
10.10.9
10.711.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed